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Deal Risk Scorer

See which deals are in trouble before your pipeline review

Multi-threading depth, engagement velocity, champion stability, and stage tenure — combined into a single risk score per deal. Spot trouble at a glance instead of discovering it too late in a 1:1.

House RecipeWork5 min setup

INGREDIENTS

💬Slack✉️Email📅Calendar📄Google Docs

PROMPT

Create a skill called "Deal Risk Scorer". For every open deal above [minimum value], calculate a risk score 1-10 based on: multi-threading depth (how many contacts engaged), engagement velocity (increasing/decreasing activity), champion status (still engaged? still at the company?), stage tenure (how long in current stage vs. average), competitive presence (competitors mentioned), and next-step adherence (are scheduled next steps being completed?). Flag deals scoring 7+ with specific risk reasons and recommended interventions. Track risk score trends over time. Alert me immediately if a champion at any deal > $50K changes jobs. Weekly team risk heatmap for pipeline review.

How It Works

The skill analyzes every open deal across multiple risk dimensions and produces a

composite score. High-risk deals get flagged with specific reasons and recommended

actions. You see the full risk picture before your pipeline review, not during it.

What You Get

  • Composite risk score (1-10) per deal based on multiple signals
  • Risk dimension breakdown: multi-threading, engagement velocity, champion status, stage tenure, competitive presence
  • Champion change alerts: job changes, org restructures, reduced engagement
  • Recommended actions per flagged deal
  • Risk trend tracking: is this deal getting safer or riskier over time?
  • Team-level risk heatmap for pipeline reviews

Setup Steps

  1. Connect CRM, email, and calendar data
  2. Define your risk weights (what matters most for your sales cycle?)
  3. Set alert thresholds (e.g., alert on deals > $50K with risk score > 7)
  4. Calibrate using recently closed-lost deals as training data

Tips

  • Single-threaded deals above $100K should always be flagged regardless of other signals
  • Champion engagement declining week-over-week is the strongest early warning signal
  • Review risk scores in your 1:1s, not just pipeline reviews
  • Historical calibration improves over time — feed back closed-lost data quarterly
Tags:#pipeline#deal-management#forecasting#sales